about this time every year, I make predictions five years out. it is pretty hard to make predictions and i think the hardest time frame is five years. it is far enough where a lot of change can happen but not too far where you cannot quickly see if you are right. since i have been doing this since 2006 I'll be able to see the fruits of my predictions as early as 2011.
here are my non-obvious predictions for 2014:
- At least one of your friends will have quadruplets.
- A huge surge of populism will overtake the world -- immigration to Western countries will be halved, massive trade barriers will be in effect, and lots of people will be looking for scapegoats.
- At least one major European country will effectively become an autocracy and many will flirt with extreme fascism or communism.
- Massive pressure will be unleashed on Congress and States to amend the Constitution to allow a President to serve a third term.